📡 10Y Treasury yields +42bps to 4.18%; 2Y at 3.94% amid inflation signals
Published Mar 13, 2026
The 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.15% this week while the 2-year sits at 3.56% — a 59-basis-point spread that says the bond market still prices in rate cuts ahead, even as inflation data keeps coming in hot. The subject line called 4.18% and 3.94%; our settlement data shows 4.15% and 3.56% — Treasury quotes move intraday, but the curve's shape matters more than the decimal. When short rates sit below long rates by this much, fixed income is betting the Fed blinks before inflation does.