The week started with Williams-Sonoma CEO Laura Alber moving $3.5M on Monday, right before her company reported earnings two days later. Pre-planned sale, already scheduled months ago, 2% of her position. By Wednesday the stock was up 13.8%. That's what makes this week interesting: the selling kept coming even as stocks kept climbing. Alber sold at $168 and the stock finished Friday at $191. Her last sale in April was followed by a 3.3% drop. This time the market moved the other direction, which raises a question about what happens to all those scheduled 10b5-1 plans when the stock keeps running away from you. Then look at Ciena. Three executives sold $3.7M on Tuesday with the stock sitting 3% from its 52-week high. CEO Gary Smith moved $1.7M, Chief Strategy Officer David Rothenstein sold $1.4M, SVP Brodie Gage added another $684K. All pre-planned. All executed the same day. By Friday the stock was up another 11.3%. These weren't discretionary choices made in response to what they see in the business. These were sales filed months ago that happened to land on a Tuesday in May while the stock was already extended at 353 times earnings. CIEN reports June 4. They beat estimates by 44% last quarter. The executives sold into strength. The stock kept climbing anyway. CrowdStrike was worse. George Kurtz moved $20.3M across five separate transactions this week, part of a 10b5-1 plan that's been running all year. That brings his 12-month total to $27.1M across seventeen sales. The stock finished Friday at an RSI of 86, 1% from its all-time high, trading deep into overbought territory with a P/E that doesn't exist because the company's still losing money. Kurtz wasn't the only one. CFO Sameer Gandhi added another $12.8M across three sales. Combined, the two executives moved $33M this week while the stock climbed 11.7%. All pre-planned. All routine. All happening while momentum traders keep pushing CRWD higher on AI security hype. The Motley Fool ran a piece Tuesday about how risk appetite is back. Benzinga wrote about CrowdStrike's "strong AI security momentum." The insiders kept selling through all of it. Here's the pattern that matters: 118 sells this week, nineteen buys. The sell side totaled $1.66B. The buy side barely cleared $299M. And here's what makes that number misleading: $317M of the selling came from Larry Robbins exiting his CVS position, another $276M from Exxon Mobil's routine treasury activity, another $73M from John Hess selling Chevron after the merger closed. Strip out those three and you still have 115 insiders selling a combined $997M while nineteen bought $299M. The ratio is the story. Technology saw $125M in selling versus $499K in buying. Energy: $363M out, essentially nothing in. Health Care: $320M in sales, $554K in purchases. Across every major sector except one, insiders were heading for the exits while their stocks climbed. The exception was Republic Services, where Bill Gates' Cascade Investment walked in with $101.8M on Thursday while the company's CAO sold $77K. That's not insider disagreement. That's scale. Cascade bought 489,000 shares at an average price of $208. The CAO sold 374 shares. One trade is a position, the other is pocket change. The stock closed Friday at $208, flat from where Cascade entered. Gates' firm now owns roughly 8% of RSG after multiple purchases this year. The insiders at Republic aren't buying. The largest outside investor is. Monolithic Power Systems had the week's biggest absolute number: Maurice Sciammas moved $18.7M while CEO Michael Hsing added another $59.3M. Both pre-planned. MPWR closed the week up 6.3% at $1,561, trading at a P/E that makes Ciena look cheap. The company's net margin sits at a healthy double-digit, but at these multiples you're paying for years of future growth today. The CEO is selling into it on a schedule. So is the EVP. The stock keeps climbing. Meanwhile at Carrier, board member Maximilian Viessmann unloaded $750M in a single transaction Tuesday. That's not a typo. Three quarters of a billion dollars in one filing. The stock moved 2.8% higher by Friday. When a transaction is that large, the question isn't whether it moves the market. The question is how the market absorbed it without blinking. Ciena reports June 4, thirteen days out. NetApp reports May 28, six days. Both had insiders selling this week. Both stocks finished higher. The filings tell you what insiders did. The price action tells you what the market thinks about it. This week, the market didn't care. Every scheduled sale landed, every stock climbed, and the wall of pre-planned selling kept building while momentum carried prices higher. That disconnect doesn't last forever. It just hasn't mattered yet. |